Thus we believe that, when all other attempts to revive declining accrual has failed, trial groups should consider the
possibility of releasing interim results, although the operating characteristics of each trial need to be considered carefully from both scientific and ethical perspectives. Any consideration of releasing interim results will be a judgment call, and must weigh up www.selleckchem.com/screening/ion-channel-ligand-library.html the risks that releasing interim results may be over-interpreted, may negatively affect accrual, and/or may affect subsequent secondary treatment (and thus bias long-term results), against the risk of the trial failing to accrue sufficient patients to produce a reliable result. The interim results from the two trials described above were non-significant and of course raise the issue of whether small molecule library screening an interim, potentially false-positive, result would have caused the trials to stop inappropriately prematurely. Unfortunately given the lack of trials where interim results have been released we can only speculate how participants might react to seeing
a significant result, but, as indicated above, it is vital that the implications of releasing interim results are carefully explained by experienced statisticians. It is always important to revisit and reflect on current practice. We increasingly live in a climate of freedom of information, transparency and openness, the research and clinical communities are now more knowledgeable about trials, the profile of clinical trials is higher, the Internet allows everyone greater access to information, and the concepts of uncertainty and risk are more widely discussed. Evidence-based medicine depends on sufficiently large amounts of evidence from randomized trials.
Therefore any trial group that fails to predict poor accrual and/or stops the trial prematurely due to failure to accrue (it has been estimated that between a quarter tetracosactide and a third of trials do not achieve their planned accrual [14] and [15]) fails to advance knowledge and squanders resources as well as the goodwill of participating patients, which represents an unacceptable waste of research funding, investigators time, and patients goodwill. In these circumstances, we believe there is a need to reconsider and debate the current attitudes towards the release of interim data. RS wrote the initial draft and incorporated comments from all of the other authors. All authors have approved the final version. The authors declare that they have no competing interests. We would like to thank Sir Iain Chalmers, Professor David Spiegelhalter, and Professor Richard Lilford for their support and comments on earlier drafts.